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The Michigan State Spartans have been one of the most reliable teams against the spread down the stretch, covering in 10 of their last 11 contests. That trend should continue when they take on the Ole Miss Rebels in Friday’s Sweet 16 showdown, where Michigan State looks poised to make it 11 covers in their last 12 outings.

Defensively, the Spartans have built their identity on shutting down opponents, and that’s exactly what they’ve done all year. During the regular season, Michigan State held teams to just 67.2 points per game while limiting them to 40.3% shooting from the field and a suffocating 27.9% from beyond the arc. That elite perimeter defense has carried over into March Madness, where the Spartans have tightened the screws even further — allowing just 62.5 points per game through two tournament matchups.

With that kind of defensive discipline and momentum, Michigan State not only has the tools to advance to the Elite Eight but also to cover the short number once again. Expect the Spartans to lean on their gritty defense and tournament experience to take care of business and cash for backers on Friday. Take Michigan State ATS


NCAA Basketball Picks
Friday, March 28th 2025 7:09 PM
Finished

NCAA Basketball Cappers Picks for Mississippi vs Michigan State with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:


Paul Biagioli 77 % Porter Picks 86 % Bob Bafle 58 % Brian Bitler 71 % Ron Romanelli 55 % Big Al 62 % David Picks and parlays 63 % Paul Stone 58 % Jonathan Von Tobel 67 % Matt Youmans 67 % Stephen Nover 80 % Big Al 62 % Chris Macero 58 % David Dineen 58 % Ken Thomson 67 % Joseph D'Amico 57 % Great Lakes Capper 67 % Matt Severance 59 % The Gold Sheet 71 % LC Sports 100 % David Racey 58 % Brad Francis 56 %

Spread
Money
Total
3.5 -107
158
O144.0 -110
-3.5 -113
-180
U144.0 -110


SPREAD
Mississippi 3.5 (-107)
AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -4
Jimmy Adams W%: 47 ROI: -13 Jonathan Von Tobel W%: 58 ROI: 10 Matt Youmans W%: 52 ROI: -1 Tim Murray W%: 43 ROI: -18 Chris Macero W%: 50 ROI: -5 Ken Thomson W%: 48 ROI: -8 Bobby Brubeck W%: 47 ROI: -11 Kyle Lupas W%: 49 ROI: -5 David Racey W%: 51 ROI: -3 Brad Francis W%: 51 ROI: -7 Pickwise W%: 50 ROI: -4 Paul Biagioli W%: 51 ROI: -2 Brian Bitler W%: 52 ROI: -0 Big Al W%: 52 ROI: -3 Brody Vaughn W%: 54 ROI: 2 Bob Konarski (BurghBets) W%: 50 ROI: -4 Bruce Marshall W%: 48 ROI: -6 Porter Picks W%: 50 ROI: -4 Bob Bafle W%: 50 ROI: -3

SPREAD
Michigan State -3.5 (-113)
AVG SPREAD W%: 47 ROI: -9
Micah Roberts W%: 48 ROI: -9 Paul Stone W%: 52 ROI: 0 Aaron Moore W%: 44 ROI: -16 Ron Boyles W%: 41 ROI: -22 Eli Hershkovich W%: 41 ROI: -22 Greg Peterson W%: 48 ROI: -8 Jim Root W%: 40 ROI: -24 Guy Bruhn W%: 50 ROI: -5 David Picks and parlays W%: 49 ROI: -6 Stephen Nover W%: 50 ROI: -5 Andrew Jett W%: 49 ROI: -8 Sean Higgs W%: 45 ROI: -13 Sports Picks Forum W%: 48 ROI: -7 Chris Jordan W%: 46 ROI: -10 Brandon Lang W%: 45 ROI: -14 Great Lakes Capper W%: 44 ROI: -17 Rob Veno W%: 57 ROI: 8 The Gold Sheet W%: 49 ROI: -7 Drew Martin W%: 48 ROI: -7 Las Vegas Sports Betting W%: 49 ROI: -6 Nathan Beighle W%: 49 ROI: -6 Lenny Stevens W%: 49 ROI: -7 The Lock Club W%: 49 ROI: -7



MONEY
Mississippi 158
AVG MONEY W%: 51 ROI: -2
Max Turner W%: 50 ROI: -4 Kosty Insider Plays W%: 51 ROI: -0

MONEY
Michigan State -180
AVG MONEY W%: 53 ROI: -5
Matt Severance W%: 56 ROI: -6 Ricky Tran W%: 54 ROI: -7 Jesse Schule W%: 50 ROI: -10 Joseph D'Amico W%: 55 ROI: 2 William Burns W%: 54 ROI: -1 Tommy G W%: 51 ROI: -9

TOTAL
UNDER 144.0 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 50 ROI: -5
Jason La Canfora W%: 47 ROI: -7 David Dineen W%: 56 ROI: 7 Bobby Brubeck W%: 47 ROI: -11 Big Al W%: 52 ROI: -3 Ron Romanelli W%: 50 ROI: -4 LC Sports W%: 49 ROI: -8 Nathan Beighle W%: 49 ROI: -6

TOTAL
OVER 144.0 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 50 ROI: -4
Max Turner W%: 50 ROI: -4





Mississippi picks vs Michigan State picks last 5 games